Blog

February 11, 2008 – Do I have it right? It is a question that I relentlessly ask myself, comparing what the various markets are doing against what I had expected them to do. It is an important question, and I have been asking it a lot ever since the major stock averages last month brokeRead more

January 28, 2008 – I received an interesting email the other day from Nick Laird, the proprietor of www.sharelynx.com. He brought to my attention an eye-catching year-end change in SLV, the silver exchange-traded fund. According to the SLV website, 19.8 million ounces of silver were added to the fund on December 31st, but it didn’tRead more

Jan 25, 2008 – Now that gold has climbed above the $850 high reached back in January 1980, many are proclaiming that gold is at a new ‘record’. That’s true of course when gold’s exchange rate to the dollar is viewed in terms of nominal dollars, but nominal dollars provide a distorted picture. After all,Read more

January 7, 2008 – “We might hope to see the finances of the Union as clear and intelligible as a merchant’s books, so that every member of Congress and every man of any mind in the Union should be able to comprehend them, to investigate abuses, and consequently to control them.”- President Thomas Jefferson toRead more

December 17, 2007 – One year ago in Letter No. 375 I provided my forecasts for 2007.  It’s time to repeat that task.  Hopefully my forecasts for this year will prove as satisfactory as they were for this past year, because overall I think 2007 unfolded pretty much as I expected.  But first, I’ll takeRead more

Dec 12, 2007 – The Federal Reserve today announced a new scheme to inject more liquidity into the money markets. It cobbled together a partnership arrangement, as the Canadian, UK and European central banks also agreed to participate in the scheme. The process of ‘injecting liquidity’ is a euphemistic way of saying ‘creating money outRead more

December 3, 2007 – The outcome from the relentless inflation of a currency is all too predictable. Unfortunately, the inevitable future of currency debasement is generally ignored by most people, with the result that they end up unprepared when the inflation eventually destroys the currency they are using. The dollar has been collapsing, albeit somewhatRead more

November 12, 2007 – Everyone knows that the dollar is losing purchasing power day after day because of inflation. Consequently, the practice of “inflation adjusting” has become well-known. It is a process that attempts to equate in a consistent way the purchasing power of the dollar at some previous point in time to the currentRead more

Nov 7, 2007 – Exactly six months ago I wrote about an indicator that has predicted with 100% accuracy when the price of gold was about to rise. The entire article can be read here: ‘Gold’s Infallible Indicator‘. Over the years, this indicator has been one of my favorites. It has been so good thatRead more

October 22, 2007 – On September 18th former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan appeared on the Jon Stewart Daily Show, where he made the following comment: “I was telling my colleagues the other day… I’d been dealing with these big mathematical models for forecasting the economy, and I’m looking at what’s going on the lastRead more