Article List



‘Falling’ gold demand

November 19, 2012 – An article in The Wall Street Journal a few days ago caught my attention. It reported: “Gold prices dropped on signs ...


Fiat Currency in a Kondratieff Winter

June 15, 2012 – Nikolai Kondratieff (1892-1938) was a Russian economist who theorized that capitalist economies are subject to a repeating ...


Mr. Bernanke goes to college

March 21, 2012 – Earlier this week Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke gave a lecture to students at George Washington University. It was the ...


The Myths and Reality of Gold Confiscation

November 23, 2011 – There are a number of common misconceptions about the gold confiscation foisted on the American people by President Franklin ...


Something More Important than the Debt Limit

July 11, 2011 - Discussions by policymakers to increase the US debt limit are in the eleventh hour.  Sadly, so far the circus of intense ...


The Real Reason for Rising Commodity Prices

February 3, 2011 – An article today in The Wall Street Journal highlights the latest rise in the price of wheat.  Blaming bad weather, it ...


The re-printing of “Pieces of Eight”

December 22, 2010 – I am pleased to announce the re-printing of Pieces of Eight: The Monetary Powers and Disabilities of the United States ...


The precious metals power higher

December 1, 2010 – Both gold and silver demonstrated some spectacular performance yesterday, climbing 1.4% and 3.8% respectively from the ...


Does QE really stimulate economic activity?

November 16, 2010 – Earlier this month the Federal Reserve announced its latest round of quantitative easing, long ago dubbed QE, but it should ...


They are printing too much money

September 20, 2010 – There is too much money being printed.  No rocket science is needed to reach that conclusion. The markets are giving ...


Since 1920 the Barron's Gold Mining Stock Average has Outperformed the DJIA

September 13, 2010 - I am pleased to present the following article written by Mark Lundeen. He explains why the Barron's mining stock average has ...


Banks are not lending again

July 10, 2010 – I need to correct an article I wrote last month stating that banks are lending again.  Total bank loans have indeed grown ...


Banks are lending again

June 17, 2010 – Banks are lending again.  After many months of sitting on their hands while trying to repair their over-leveraged balance ...


A signal from the stock market

June 14, 2010 – The stock market is often acclaimed for its forecasting ability.  Stock prices peak long before the downturn in economic ...


“Bonds Have Seen Their Best Days”

March 26, 2010 – Everyone should be taking note that the yield on the 10-year Treasury note this week climbed to a 9-month high.  The ...


Debtor Nation

March 22, 2010 – Only a few decades ago, the United States was the world’s largest creditor nation.  American capital spanned the ...


US Dollar Money Supply Is Underreported

March 1, 2010 – As the financial crisis has unfolded over the last two years, the Federal Reserve has been responding in a variety of ...


What Are Banks Doing with Their Depositors' Money?

February 26, 2010 – There have been numerous reports about the sharp decline in bank lending since the beginning of the financial crisis.  ...


US Government Debt is Not a Safe Haven

February 15, 2010 – As the debt crisis in Greece continued to unfold last week, the US dollar and US government debt instruments were being ...


Precious Metals at ‘Bargain Basement’ Prices

February 4, 2010 – Every once in a great while, the market offers a unique opportunity to buy precious metals ‘on the cheap’.  ...


M3 Declines from One Year Ago

January 9, 2010 – The total quantity of US dollars in circulation has declined over the past year.  As of December 31, 2009, M3 is $14.193 ...


The Outlook for 2010

January 2, 2010 – It is time to record my outlook for 2010, but before looking forward to the year ahead, I always like to first look back at ...


The Federal Reserve Needs More Money

December 30, 2009 – The Federal Reserve needs more money to continue purchasing US government debt, the aggregate amount of which is soaring ...


The Federal Reserve Becomes the ‘Buyer of Last Resort’

November 29, 2009 – While the debate continues whether inflation or deflation will be the dollar’s eventual fate, the Federal Reserve is ...


The Dollar Depends on Politicians Now

October 28, 2009 - It wasn’t too many decades ago that the dollar was, as the saying went, “as good as gold”.  It was a truism, ...


A True Picture of the US Dollar

October 25, 2009 – Because people generally calculate the price of goods and services only in terms of the national currency of the country ...


Here They Go Again

September 18, 2009 - Certain segments of the media rarely give gold a fair shake, particularly when it approaches important price levels.  These ...


Federal Tax Receipts Tumble While Outlays and Debt Soar

August 26, 2009 - According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the United States has been in an economic contraction since December ...


Expect More Volatility

August 24, 2009 - I expect considerably more volatility in the markets in the months ahead, particularly for gold and silver. Once gold climbs above ...


The Fiat Currency Disease

June 25, 2009 - Yesterday the Federal Reserve completed the latest meeting of its Federal Open Market Committee.  It re-affirmed its plan to ...


Restoring Sound Money in America

January 26, 2009 - There is a determined grassroots movement in the United States seeking the restoration of sound money. There are many different ...


The Federal Reserve's Blueprint for Market Intervention

January 16, 2009 - An important document buried in the Federal Reserve's archives has been discovered by writer and researcher Elaine Supkis. This ...


Another Great Depression

January 12, 2009 - I don't like to start any new year on a gloomy note. I am by nature an optimist, but I am also a realist who readily faces facts. ...


After the Deleveraging Comes the Deluge

October 6, 2008 - One of the basic premises of my portfolio strategy is to avoid the US dollar. My basic recommendation in this regard is simple, ...


Yet Another Bailout

September 22, 2008 - In the last letter I commented on the bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. My observation was: "This latest bailout of ...


Price vs. Value in the Inflation/Deflation Debate

Aug 26, 2008 - A friend recently wrote to me saying that value is what you are offered when you want to sell something. I disagree. What is offered is ...


Debt Repudiation

August 25, 2008 - In the last letter I questioned whether the US government is solvent. All the available financial evidence as well as some simple ...


Is the US Government Insolvent?

August 4, 2008 - In my article on January 7th, I analyzed the federal government's financial position using its consolidated financial statements, ...


The Blame Game

May 26, 2008 - What a week this has been! As the oil price soared and gasoline prices at the pump touched $4 per gallon, the search for scapegoats ...


'Will Citibank Survive?'

March 17, 2008 - The center of focus this past week on Wall Street - and indeed, much of the financial world - was whether or not Bear Stearns will ...


Do I Have It Right?

February 11, 2008 - Do I have it right? It is a question that I relentlessly ask myself, comparing what the various markets are doing against what I ...


The 'Real' Gold Price

Jan 25, 2008 - Now that gold has climbed above the $850 high reached back in January 1980, many are proclaiming that gold is at a new 'record'. That's ...


Liquidity Won't Help Insolvency

Dec 12, 2007 - The Federal Reserve today announced a new scheme to inject more liquidity into the money markets. It cobbled together a partnership ...


The 'Weimar' Dollar

December 3, 2007 - The outcome from the relentless inflation of a currency is all too predictable. Unfortunately, the inevitable future of currency ...


Buying Gold at $42.65 per Ounce

November 12, 2007 - Everyone knows that the dollar is losing purchasing power day after day because of inflation. Consequently, the practice of ...


My Fear Index Is Back

October 22, 2007 - On September 18th former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan appeared on the Jon Stewart Daily Show, where he made the ...


Another Look at the Inflation/Deflation Debate

October 1, 2007 - It has been a long-running debate. Most everyone recognizes that the US economy is unsustainable because of too many years of ...


M3 Resurrected

September 3, 2007 - M3 has been resurrected, so I have my trusty roadmap back. We can once again closely track what is happening to the dollar by ...


Inflationary Expectations

July 30, 2007 - I recently wrote an article published on Kitco.com that made reference to a July 10th speech by Federal Reserve chairman Ben ...


The Battle for $700 Rages On

May 28, 2007 - I am writing this newsletter one week earlier than planned because several markets are at critical points. In short, there is simply ...


The Battle for $700

May 14, 2007 - We have a battle on our hands. It';s the Battle for $700, and it is just the latest clash in a long war being fought between gold ...


My Testimony Before the Commerce Committee

March 26, 2007 - For several years there has been an ongoing effort in New Hampshire to re-establish sound money within the state. See for example ...


'Ominous Parallels'

January 29, 2007 - It seems clear to me that the US is following a monetary path that is leading to ever-growing rates of inflation that will over ...


Hank & Ben Go To China

December 18. 2006 - Treasury secretary Hank Paulson and Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke (together with 59 underlings) trekked to China to meet ...


Another Commodity Correction Is Behind Us

Dec 5, 2006 - The CRB Continuous Commodity Index closed at 408.79 on November 30th, an all-time record high. This new high means that the ...


The Good and Bad News for 2007

December 4, 2006 - This is the time of the year that I dust-off my crystal ball in order to look at the year ahead. I will share with you what I ...


Dollar Weakness Foretells Year-End Gold Rally

Nov 27, 2006 - While America was celebrating Thanksgiving, the US dollar swooned. Major support was broken in the process, and the US Dollar Index ...


Clipping Coins in the 21st Century

November 13, 2006 - In 1787 Russian general Grigori Potemkin constructed facades of buildings along the banks of the Dnieper River to fool Catherine ...


From Connolly to Baker to Paulson

October 2, 2006 - Connolly to Baker to Paulson. It could be the names of three infielders in an around-the-horn triple play, but it's not. These ...


What Is Happening to M3?

September 18, 2006 - In November 2005 the Federal Reserve announced that it would no longer compile and publicly report M3, which is the total ...


The Outlook for the Dollar Worsens

August 14, 2006 - The Federal Reserve has stopped raising interest rates. Therefore, the logical question to ask ourselves is whether their ...


A Fear Index Revival?

August 7, 2006 - In November 2005 the Federal Reserve announced that it would no longer compile and report M3, which is the total quantity of dollars ...


When Will the Stock Market Fall?

July 24, 2006 - Many thanks to Adrian Douglas for the accompanying chart of the price of gold plotted against the Dow Jones Industrials Average. ...


Some Interesting Questions

May 29, 2009 - I've received more than my usual share of emails over the past several weeks. Not all of them are a result of gold's climb to $700 and ...


Hold Gold, Not the Dow

May 15, 2006 - There has been a lot of bullish hype as the Dow Jones Industrials Average has approached the record high that marked the top of the ...


Mr Bernanke's First Crisis

May 8, 2006 - It was only two short months after Alan Greenspan was appointed chairman of the Federal Reserve that he faced his first crisis. The ...


The End of M3 - Hiding the Truth About Inflation

March 28, 2006 - Each week the Federal Reserve reports various measures of the US dollar money supply. One of these, M3, is the total quantity of ...


Dollar Interest Rates Jump

March 6, 2006 - Long-term US dollar interest rates rose again this past week, continuing the uptrend that began in mid-January. For example, the ...


Look Beneath the Numbers

February 27, 2006 - On February 22, 2006, a news report was published by Dow Jones Newswires based on a press release issued the same day by Barrick ...


The Dollar is Not the Story

February 6, 2006 - When you follow the markets with as much careful and continuous attention as I do, it’s inevitable that you end up hearing ...


Empire of Debt

January 23, 2006 - A couple of years ago I read Empire: the Rise and Demise of the British World Order and the Lessons for Global Power by British ...


Something to Worry About

January 9, 2006 - As we begin this new year, there is a lot to ponder over and worry about.  High on this list is the imminent departure of ...


Ben Bernacke, Another Bill Miller

October 31, 2005 - We all have heard of Ben Bernacke, who president Bush just recently appointed to be chairman of the Federal Reserve to succeed ...


Waiting for a Reconfirmation of the Fear Index

October 3, 2005 - All of the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place neatly and pretty much on schedule. When the puzzle is finished, it will ...


The 'Barbarous Relic' - It's Not What You Think

Sept 14, 2005  - I'm no fan of John Maynard Keynes. I find most of his economic theories to be just plain wrong. But for the sake of truth and ...


The Big Picture & The Fear Index

August 1, 2005 - The Fear Index is my most important analytical tool for evaluating gold. It's like a trusty compass that one might take on a hike. ...


Currency Risk

June 6, 2005 - Currency risk is a troublesome problem that everyone faces. It arises for a variety of different reasons, but more often than not, ...


The Quest for Sound Money in New Hampshire

May 16, 2005 - There are two principal monetary provisions in the American Constitution. Taken together they make clear ...


Is Crude Oil More Precious Than Gold?

April 11, 2005 - Crude oil expert Matt Simmons is becoming a familiar name to many, particularly as the price of crude oil climbs higher. He has been ...


My Response to Tim Wood

March 28, 2005 - Tim Wood is the founding editor of Resource Investor, (www.resourceinvestor.com) an online newsletter focusing on junior mining ...


Is the Gold Price Being Managed?

March 15, 2005 - On March 10th GATA (www.gata.org) issued a press release that presented an analysis of the gold market prepared by Dan Norcini, a ...


The Outlook for 2005

January 10, 2005 - From time to time over the past couple of years I have been comparing our present circumstances to those prevailing in the ...


The Crude Reality About Oil

August 9, 2004 - Crude oil is going to $60 per barrel, and probably even a lot higher than that. It is an outcome that is inevitable, but we should ...


'Gloom, Boom & Doom'

June 14, 2004 - A recent report crossed my desk by Dr. Marc Faber, editor of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report. I first met Marc nearly twenty years ...


The Debt Bubble

May 10, 2004 - Catching up on my reading last week, I was very much taken by comments made recently by Congressman Ron Paul of Texas. From his ...


'Heading for a Fall'

March 1, 2004 - An article in the February 26th issue of The Economist addresses the issue head-on. Even its title is provocative, "Heading for a ...


The 'Flight from the Dollar' Accelerates

December 22, 2003 - It is easy for economists - like generals - to fall into the trap of fighting the last war. The big monetary upheavals of the last ...


The Confiscation Threat

December 1, 2003 - By a so-called Executive Order, President Roosevelt declared on April 5, 1933 that: "All persons are hereby required to ...


Building An Ark

November 10, 2003 - "Predicting rain doesn't count - building an ark does." So says Warren Buffett. Long-time readers of these letters know ...


Window Dressing

October 27, 2003 - Because financial statements provide a snap-shot of a company's balance sheet for just one day, the opportunity exists for ...


Inflation, Debasement or Both

August 25, 2003 - Debasement is a word often used to describe money, or more precisely, the decline in the value of a currency. According to ...


Capital Controls Are Coming

June 16, 2003 - The headline of the May 30, 2003 issue of The New York Times blared "U.S. Cautiously Begins to Seize Millions in Foreign ...


Pieces of Eight

March 31, 2003 - What is a dollar? This question seems simple, but it isn't. The answer is complicated because there are in fact several types of ...


The Dollar's Death Spiral

March 10, 2003 - The Dollar Index closed this past Friday at 98.04, a new 3-year low, 19% below its 2001 high. Even more importantly, its downward ...


What If 'Gold is Gone'?

February 24, 2003 - I highly recommend that you read an excellent article in the current issue of Insight magazine. Investigative journalist Kelly ...


The Tipping Point

February 10, 2003 - I will be the first to admit that the future cannot be predicted just because some line on an uptrend channel is broken on some ...


The Gold Price for the Next 18 Months

January 20, 2003 - One of the most important things to do when managing an investment is to stay aligned with the primary trend. This principle is ...


JP Morgan, Enron & Gold

Januray 6, 2003 - I have today mailed the following letter to the Enforcement Division of the Securities & Exchange Commission. It's about time ...


Gold and the CRB Index

September 23, 2002 - Though every market is different in that each one is driven by its own unique factors affecting supply and demand, there are ...


The Rout Picks Up Momentum

July 15, 2002 - The slide in the stock market really picked up some momentum this past week. The Dow Jones Industrials Average dropped 7.4%. The ...


The Stock Market Cracks - Sort Of

July 1, 2002 - Over the past several weeks, the stock market has taken a severe pasting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined six weeks ...


More Evidence of the Falling Demand for the Dollar

May 20, 2002 - In the last letter I explained in graphic detail my oft-stated premise that a flight from the dollar is beginning. I contend therefore ...


The Momentum of Truth Rapidly Approaches

April 29, 2002 - One of the most basic premises about which I have been writing for years is about to be tested. Will we get a flight from the dollar ...


Argentina Falls Over

February 11, 2002 - Argentina's debt default and economic bust has been moved out of the headlines by the collapse of Enron, as if one debacle was not ...


The Fed Loses Control

December 17, 2001 - The above title might be somewhat premature. Complete control may not yet have been lost, so instead, it is perhaps more accurate ...


An Old-Fashioned Bear Market

March 26, 2001 - Years ago an old stock market pro told me that sometimes the most difficult thing about markets is believing what you are seeing. It ...


The Federal Reserve's Worst Nightmare

October 16, 2000 - Most everyone assumes that a crash in the stock market is the Federal Reserve's worst nightmare. There are many sound reasons to ...


A Summer Rally? Or Bear Market Rally?

June 5, 2000 - A couple of weeks ago when the Dow Industrials were threatening to break below 10,000 and the NASDAQ looked ready to collapse through ...


Are Stocks Better Than Money?

March 13, 2000 - Everything you can think of about this multi-year rise in the stock market has been unprecedented - its duration, the price ...


Turning Up the Heat

January 31, 2000 - In recent letters I have referred time and again to the predicament of the shorts, and more specifically, to those short physical ...


A Global Currency for Global Commerce

November 22, 1999 - "We assume that the currency which is in all our hands is fixed, and that the price of bullion moves; whereas in truth, it is ...


Move Over Fisk & Gould

August 16, 1999 – In 1869, Jim Fisk and Jay Gould tried to corner the gold market, and for a time, this notorious duo succeeded. It is a ...


The Big Squeeze

August 16, 1999 – If I’ve learned anything over the years, it is to not underestimate the power of central banks and their willingness to ...


More Evidence That Gold Is Cheap

July 26, 1999 - In Letter No. 246, 'Is Gold Cheap and therefore Good Value?', I presented a detailed case that Gold is cheap and good value, and that ...


Mobilizing Gold

April 12, 1999 - If you could borrow Dollars at 1% and invest them in another asset (e.g. T-Bills) yielding 4%, would you do it? Of course you would ...


Seeking A 'Normal'Gold Price

September 14, 1998 - The Gold price has rallied sharply over the past two weeks, and may have formed an important bottom. Though it is far too early ...


Which of Two Roads?

July 27, 1998 - Beauty or beast? Either of these adjectives can apply when it comes to the stock market. At times the market is something wonderful to ...


Wake Up, Mr Greenspan

June 15, 1998 - Mr. Miller was ousted, and Paul Volcker was rushed in to pick up the pieces. But the change came too late. The damage had already been ...


How High Is 'High'

April 6, 1998 - Ever since the Dow Industrials Average made a new record high in early February, I have been warning that one should play the market ...


How To Make a European Sausage

February 16, 1998 - I think it was Helmut Kohl who compared the political process to sausage making - by advising facetiously that in politics like ...


The War on Gold

November 10, 1997 - On October 24th a committee of government bureaucrats from the Swiss finance ministry and the Swiss National Bank shocked the Gold ...


Dollar Imperialism

July 7, 1997 - A war of words was started at the recent G-7 meeting in Denver. The first salvo was fired by President Clinton in a discussion with ...


Gold, the Dollar, and the G-7

February 24, 1997 - The finance ministers of the G-7 industrialized nations have spoken. 'The Dollar stops here!' After two years of Dollar strength ...


1996 Was Not 1929

January 6, 1997 - An old Chinese proverb says that wisdom begins by calling things by their right name. It is possible to create a corollary of this ...


Price Indices - And Other Lies

December 9, 1996 - We have a problem. It is not an easy problem to solve, but it is an easy problem to understand. It has to do with money, and ...


When Interest Rates Rise

November 4, 1996 - In the last letter I noted the possibility of "one last upward spike in T-Bond prices to provide the markets with one last ...


Gold After the November Election

October 21, 1996 - What will happen to the Gold price after the November election? Will it remain stuck below $400 per ounce, or can we finally expect ...


Thinking the Unthinkable

April 25, 1994 - Over the past few years I have become acquainted with a wealthy, retired American industrialist who has an interesting story to tell. ...

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