Article List



‘Falling’ gold demand

November 19, 2012 – An article in The Wall Street Journal a few days ago caught my attention. It reported: “Gold prices dropped on signs ...


Preparing for the “Grexit”

May 23, 2012 – The Grexit, or Greece’s exit from the euro, is becoming more likely, judging by how frequently it is mentioned these ...


Something More Important than the Debt Limit

July 11, 2011 - Discussions by policymakers to increase the US debt limit are in the eleventh hour.  Sadly, so far the circus of intense ...


Gold’s Hyperbolic Trajectory

March 28, 2011 – I am not a mathematician, but those knowledgeable about math have explained to me the difference between a parabola and a ...


The Outlook for 2011

January 3, 2011 – It is that time of the year again to record my expectations and outlook for the year ahead.  But before looking at 2011, ...


The re-printing of “Pieces of Eight”

December 22, 2010 – I am pleased to announce the re-printing of Pieces of Eight: The Monetary Powers and Disabilities of the United States ...


The scramble for physical metal intensifies

December 4, 2010 – The scramble for physical gold and silver is intensifying.  People increasingly want to own the real thing, and not some ...


They are printing too much money

September 20, 2010 – There is too much money being printed.  No rocket science is needed to reach that conclusion. The markets are giving ...


Banks are not lending again

July 10, 2010 – I need to correct an article I wrote last month stating that banks are lending again.  Total bank loans have indeed grown ...


Banks are lending again

June 17, 2010 – Banks are lending again.  After many months of sitting on their hands while trying to repair their over-leveraged balance ...


Gold: Needed Now More Than Ever

April 30, 2010 - Greece’s debt troubles are well known.  Less recognized is the worrying truth that Greece is just the tip of the ...


Precious Metals at ‘Bargain Basement’ Prices

February 4, 2010 – Every once in a great while, the market offers a unique opportunity to buy precious metals ‘on the cheap’.  ...


M3 Declines from One Year Ago

January 9, 2010 – The total quantity of US dollars in circulation has declined over the past year.  As of December 31, 2009, M3 is $14.193 ...


The Federal Reserve Becomes the ‘Buyer of Last Resort’

November 29, 2009 – While the debate continues whether inflation or deflation will be the dollar’s eventual fate, the Federal Reserve is ...


Welcome to Stage Two of Gold's Bull Market

November 23, 2009 – Bull markets are marked by three distinct stages, and when gold climbed above $1,000, it only entered its second ...


The Dollar Depends on Politicians Now

October 28, 2009 - It wasn’t too many decades ago that the dollar was, as the saying went, “as good as gold”.  It was a truism, ...


Here They Go Again

September 18, 2009 - Certain segments of the media rarely give gold a fair shake, particularly when it approaches important price levels.  These ...


Full Faith and Credit

August 10, 2009 - I wrote the following 22 years ago this month. As the French say, Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose! Nothing has changed ...


Important Divergences

May 17, 2009 - Occasionally the stock market gives important clues about its future direction. One way a clue can appear is through a ...


Don't 'Invest' in Gold - Save It

April 14,2009 - An old Chinese saying declares that wisdom begins by calling things by their right name. Truer words could not be spoken about ...


Restoring Sound Money in America

January 26, 2009 - There is a determined grassroots movement in the United States seeking the restoration of sound money. There are many different ...


Citibank Eight Months Later

November 24, 2009 - I last wrote about Citibank eight months ago in an article entitled "Will Citibank Survive?" That article is still ...


Mr. Buffet's Market Call

Oct 27, 2008 - In an article published in The New York Times on October 16th, Warren Buffet tells us that he has "been buying American ...


Government Money or Sound Money

September 22, 2008 - The term 'government money' has been bandied about a lot in recent weeks. It is being portrayed as a near miraculous elixir with ...


Price vs. Value in the Inflation/Deflation Debate

Aug 26, 2008 - A friend recently wrote to me saying that value is what you are offered when you want to sell something. I disagree. What is offered is ...


Putting the Gold Price in Perspective

July 22, 2008 - I wrote the following article for "Information Line", published by Michael Checkan and Glen Kirsch, the proprietors of ...


The Truth About DGC

June 23, 2008 - As the inventor of digital gold currency (DGC), I am compelled to respond to the spate of recent articles that focused upon the ...


Inflation Fears & Food Shortages

April 28,2008 - There have been numerous media reports about food shortages around the globe and the resulting riots caused by empty store shelves. ...


'Will Citibank Survive?'

March 17, 2008 - The center of focus this past week on Wall Street - and indeed, much of the financial world - was whether or not Bear Stearns will ...


The Other Reason to Own Gold

Mar 14,2008 - Everybody knows that gold is an inflation hedge. That's why most people buy it. They know from experience that the purchasing power of ...


An Overview of Gold's Supply & Demand

Feb 25, 2008 - During the fourth quarter of 2007, the gold price rose a healthy 12.4% from US$742.80 to $834.90. Obviously there was strong demand ...


The 'Real' Gold Price

Jan 25, 2008 - Now that gold has climbed above the $850 high reached back in January 1980, many are proclaiming that gold is at a new 'record'. That's ...


Liquidity Won't Help Insolvency

Dec 12, 2007 - The Federal Reserve today announced a new scheme to inject more liquidity into the money markets. It cobbled together a partnership ...


Another Look at the Inflation/Deflation Debate

October 1, 2007 - It has been a long-running debate. Most everyone recognizes that the US economy is unsustainable because of too many years of ...


Silver is Money

Sep 28, 2007 - Last week I spoke at the annual Silver Summit in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho. I had two basic messages. I first explained that while I am ...


M3 Resurrected

September 3, 2007 - M3 has been resurrected, so I have my trusty roadmap back. We can once again closely track what is happening to the dollar by ...


What Is Liqudity?

August 20, 2007 - "A banker is the person who lends you his umbrella when the sun is shining and wants it back the minute it rains." We ...


As Financial Tremors Reverberate, Focus on Counterparty Risk

Aug 10, 2007 - A new but inevitable twist has emerged in the escalating subprime woes. Bank solvency is now being called into question. As a ...


Inflationary Expectations

July 30, 2007 - I recently wrote an article published on Kitco.com that made reference to a July 10th speech by Federal Reserve chairman Ben ...


Controlling Inflationary Expectations

July 12, 2007 - Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke delivered on July 10th a lengthy presentation on the public's expectation of future inflation. ...


Counterparty Risk

July 9, 2007 - Counterparty risk is often ignored and misunderstood. But it can only be ignored at one's peril, particularly now that the subprime ...


The Collapse of Brookstreet Securities

June 25, 2007 - The terse Reuters announcement this past Friday contained only 101 words. Brookstreet Securities Corp., an Irvine, California ...


The Latest Fed Statement

26 March, 2007 - It is a basic premise of today's fiat-currency-based monetary system that central bankers only tell you what they want you to hear. ...


Another Factor Begins Impacting Gold

Feb 23, 2007 - A subtle change is taking place in the gold market. In addition to all of the reasons people already have to buy physical metal, ...


My Letter to the Editor of the Financial Times

February 19, 2007 - On January 15th the Financial Times published a series of questions from its readers about gold that were answered by James ...


'Ominous Parallels'

January 29, 2007 - It seems clear to me that the US is following a monetary path that is leading to ever-growing rates of inflation that will over ...


A Flawed Global Order

January 8, 2007 - The above title is from a very insightful article about the international monetary system that appeared in the January 5th edition ...


Dollar Weakness Foretells Year-End Gold Rally

Nov 27, 2006 - While America was celebrating Thanksgiving, the US dollar swooned. Major support was broken in the process, and the US Dollar Index ...


What's Next for the Stock Market?

October 23, 2006 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a new record high this past week. It settled back somewhat on Friday, but still closed the ...


From Connolly to Baker to Paulson

October 2, 2006 - Connolly to Baker to Paulson. It could be the names of three infielders in an around-the-horn triple play, but it's not. These ...


What Is Happening to M3?

September 18, 2006 - In November 2005 the Federal Reserve announced that it would no longer compile and publicly report M3, which is the total ...


8 Things Everyone Should Know About Gold

August 28, 2006 - Gold is one of the world's most misunderstood assets. There are many reasons for this unfortunate situation, but one stands out. ...


When Will the Stock Market Fall?

July 24, 2006 - Many thanks to Adrian Douglas for the accompanying chart of the price of gold plotted against the Dow Jones Industrials Average. ...


Some Interesting Questions

May 29, 2009 - I've received more than my usual share of emails over the past several weeks. Not all of them are a result of gold's climb to $700 and ...


Dollar Interest Rates Jump

March 6, 2006 - Long-term US dollar interest rates rose again this past week, continuing the uptrend that began in mid-January. For example, the ...


Federal Reserve Jawboning Illustrated

October 17, 2005 - For months formidable forces of inflation and other forms of monetary debasement have been gathering at a frightening pace. Rising ...


Waiting for a Reconfirmation of the Fear Index

October 3, 2005 - All of the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place neatly and pretty much on schedule. When the puzzle is finished, it will ...


The 'Barbarous Relic' - It's Not What You Think

Sept 14, 2005  - I'm no fan of John Maynard Keynes. I find most of his economic theories to be just plain wrong. But for the sake of truth and ...


The Price of Oil

July 11, 2005 - Last August I wrote an alert entitled "The End of Cheap Hydrocarbons" that was published on the GoldMoney website. The ...


Currency Risk

June 6, 2005 - Currency risk is a troublesome problem that everyone faces. It arises for a variety of different reasons, but more often than not, ...


Where Is the ETF's Gold?

November 22, 2004 - This past Thursday trading began on the NYSE for what is being called a 'gold ETF'. Here's how CBSMarketWatch described it just ...


The Debt Bubble

May 10, 2004 - Catching up on my reading last week, I was very much taken by comments made recently by Congressman Ron Paul of Texas. From his ...


'Heading for a Fall'

March 1, 2004 - An article in the February 26th issue of The Economist addresses the issue head-on. Even its title is provocative, "Heading for a ...


The 'Flight from the Dollar' Accelerates

December 22, 2003 - It is easy for economists - like generals - to fall into the trap of fighting the last war. The big monetary upheavals of the last ...


Parting You From Your Money

September 15, 2003 - Back in January 1993 The Economist magazine published an article entitled "Fool's Gold". It was so full of inaccuracies ...


Inflation, Debasement or Both

August 25, 2003 - Debasement is a word often used to describe money, or more precisely, the decline in the value of a currency. According to ...


The Process of 'Creating Money'

August 11, 2003 - Thirty-two years ago this week, President Nixon changed the course as well as the innate qualities of the dollar. The dollar, which ...


The'Barbarous Relic' - It's Not What You Think

July 21, 2003 - I'm no fan of John Maynard Keynes. I find most of his economic theories to be just plain wrong. But because I am a determined and ...


More Proof

April 21, 2003 - One of the statistics complied by the International Monetary Fund is the quantity of gold owned by the world's central banks. That ...


The Dollar's Death Spiral

March 10, 2003 - The Dollar Index closed this past Friday at 98.04, a new 3-year low, 19% below its 2001 high. Even more importantly, its downward ...


What If 'Gold is Gone'?

February 24, 2003 - I highly recommend that you read an excellent article in the current issue of Insight magazine. Investigative journalist Kelly ...


The Gold Standard is Dead, But Gold is Still the Standard

October 14, 2002 - One of my favorite writers is Lew Rockwell, who not only is the proprietor of the eponymous www.lewrockwell.com, but also president ...


Gold and the CRB Index

September 23, 2002 - Though every market is different in that each one is driven by its own unique factors affecting supply and demand, there are ...


Reviewing the Evidence

September 22, 2002 - I was recently given an interesting challenge. An Australian friend of mine named Laurie McGuirk, a hedge fund manager with an ...


The Rout Picks Up Momentum

July 15, 2002 - The slide in the stock market really picked up some momentum this past week. The Dow Jones Industrials Average dropped 7.4%. The ...


The Stock Market Cracks - Sort Of

July 1, 2002 - Over the past several weeks, the stock market has taken a severe pasting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined six weeks ...


Here's Number 5

June 10, 2002 - The Fear Index has given a buy signal. It is only the fifth buy signal since the US government abandoned the Gold Standard in August ...


The Momentum of Truth Rapidly Approaches

April 29, 2002 - One of the most basic premises about which I have been writing for years is about to be tested. Will we get a flight from the dollar ...


Argentina Falls Over

February 11, 2002 - Argentina's debt default and economic bust has been moved out of the headlines by the collapse of Enron, as if one debacle was not ...


The Fed Loses Control

December 17, 2001 - The above title might be somewhat premature. Complete control may not yet have been lost, so instead, it is perhaps more accurate ...


Catching Up on Q&A

May 21, 2001 - I have received many interesting questions from readers about my article Behind Closed Doors, the apparent swap of Gold from West Point ...


A Crisis Is Brewing

March 5, 2001 - Every once in a while one can almost sense that something is wrong in the financial system. We are at one of those moments. The system ...


CISCO Unravels

October 30, 2000 - Back on August 7th in Letter No. 268 I alerted readers to some of the accounting gimmicks being employed by both Cisco Systems and ...


Is Crude Oil Expensive?

June 26, 2000 - Energy Secretary Bill Richardson has been screaming about high oil prices. Al Gore and countless other Democrats have been harping ...


A Summer Rally? Or Bear Market Rally?

June 5, 2000 - A couple of weeks ago when the Dow Industrials were threatening to break below 10,000 and the NASDAQ looked ready to collapse through ...


Everyone's Favorite Inflation Indicator

May 1, 2000 - A week ago both the stock and bond markets were jolted by an unexpectedly large jump in inflation. That there was any surprise from ...


Are Stocks Better Than Money?

March 13, 2000 - Everything you can think of about this multi-year rise in the stock market has been unprecedented - its duration, the price ...


Turning Up the Heat

January 31, 2000 - In recent letters I have referred time and again to the predicament of the shorts, and more specifically, to those short physical ...


Changes at the Midas Fund

December 2, 1999 - This is to let you know that Kjeld Thygesen and I are no longer managing or advising the Midas Fund. As of yesterday, our contract ...


A Global Currency for Global Commerce

November 22, 1999 - "We assume that the currency which is in all our hands is fixed, and that the price of bullion moves; whereas in truth, it is ...


What Does It All Mean?

July 12, 1999 - One of the most basic axioms of trading and investing is that every market has a story to tell. Traders, generally speaking, need to ...


News Flash! Bank of England Says 'The Earth is Flat'

June 7, 1999 - Many things in finance and economics are counter-intuitive. In fact, many things in life are counter-intuitive. For example, when ...


Paper vs Metal, Chapter 2

March 22, 1999 - In the last Letter I wrote that it is the physical market that drives the price of Gold, not the other way around. The paper market ...


The 15% Solution

January 11, 1999 - One of the biggest issues facing the Gold market over the past couple of years has been the weight of Gold sitting in European ...


Which of Two Roads?

July 27, 1998 - Beauty or beast? Either of these adjectives can apply when it comes to the stock market. At times the market is something wonderful to ...


19 Reasons Gold Has Probably Bottomed

June 29, 1998 - Investing requires taking action based on a calculation of probabilities, not certainties. And right now the probabilities suggest ...


Looking 'Backward'

April 27, 1998 - There has been in recent weeks a very significant and noteworthy development in the precious metal markets. Three of the precious ...


How To Make a European Sausage

February 16, 1998 - I think it was Helmut Kohl who compared the political process to sausage making - by advising facetiously that in politics like ...


When Dreams Become Nightmares

January 12, 1998 - The Great Depression had ended before I was born, but this traumatic collapse that unhinged the world economy in the 1930's has had ...


U.S. Patent No. 5,671,364

October 6, 1997 - It is a great pleasure to announce that the above referenced patent, which has just been published, has been awarded to me. I have ...


Deflation? What Deflation?

July 21, 1997 - When it comes to markets and making investment decisions, I don't except anyone's pronouncements at face value. Every statement is ...


Managing Markets

April 21, 1997 - A distinguishing feature of the twentieth century has been the emergence of the Nation-State, and most of these territorial entities ...


'Bonds' Away!

March 24, 1997 - Like bombs from the belly of a B-52, T-Bond prices are falling around the world. It is a phenomenon not confined just to the United ...


The One-Year Outlook

January 27, 1997 - It has become a tradition of mine at this time of the year to share some of my thoughts about the various markets, and to make some ...


When Interest Rates Rise

November 4, 1996 - In the last letter I noted the possibility of "one last upward spike in T-Bond prices to provide the markets with one last ...

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